14th March 2017

Yesterday the Bill to enable the Prime Minister to make the Article 50 notification passed both Houses of Parliament.  The parliamentary page for it is here.

The Bill should soon have royal assent, if it has not already.  (Contrary to urban myth, royal assent is not given by the monarch personally, but on their behalf.)

The Bill has not been amended from the version first presented by the government.  In essence, the Bill places the government in the position it was in before the High Court ruled that it would be unlawful for the notification to be made without parliamentary approval.

(My Jack of Kent post yesterday on MPs as ‘delegates’ not ‘representatives’ is here.)

But as that obstacle to Brexit falls away, another very much came into view yesterday – not an obstacle as such to Brexit but to a ‘hard Brexit’.  This, of course, was because of the the speech of the Scottish First Minister.

This can be read here.  The First Minister announced that there will be an independence referendum when the Brexit proposals become clear.

The (intended) effect of this speech is to place UK government policy on a wire.  If the outcome of Breixt is too ‘hard’ then there will be an independence referendum for Scotland which may support independence.

(My piece on the constitutional context of the speech is at the FT.)

The one immediate effect of the speech is that the buzz about an Article 50 notification being sent this week has been quashed – the notification will now be sent by the end of this month.

Brexit continues to be fascinating.

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